Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dylan Carlson

matchup for Carson Fulmer

24th out of 436 (Best 6%)

Carson Fulmer

matchup for Dylan Carlson

225th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Leans in favor of Fulmer

Dylan Carlson has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 0.7% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.7%	20.9%	2.2%	5.2%	13.5%	9.8%	27.6%
Carlson	+0.7	+1.1	+0.2	+0.6	+0.2	-0.4	-1.8
Fulmer	-2.7	-2.9	-0.9	-0.3	-1.6	+0.1	+6.0

Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Carlson has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Dylan Carlson has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

Fastball (R) 62%

+8%

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% -2.6% 4%

Walk +1.4% +2.5% 41%

In Play -3.0% +0.1% 39%

On Base -0.4% +3.9% 31%

Hit -1.9% +1.4% 14%

Single -0.7% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% +0.6% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.1%

30.5% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.9% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.1% +1.9% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.6% +3.9% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -2.4%

13.2% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.1% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.7% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.1% +0.6%

13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%