Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dylan Carlson

matchup for Shelby Miller

52nd out of 436 (Best 13%)

Shelby Miller

matchup for Dylan Carlson

389th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Miller

Dylan Carlson has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 2.1% lower than Carlson's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	18.5%	2.7%	4.6%	11.3%	9.4%	33.1%
Carlson	-2.1	-1.3	+0.7	0.0	-2.0	-0.8	+3.7
Miller	-1.3	-2.6	-1.0	-0.4	-1.1	+1.3	+8.4

Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carlson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Dylan Carlson has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 27%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +0.3% 4%

Walk +1.4% +0.8% 41%

In Play -3.0% -1.1% 39%

On Base -0.4% -4.9% 31%

Hit -1.9% -5.7% 14%

Single -0.7% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -2.8% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.3%

30.5% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.9% -0.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.1% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.6% +3.5% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +1.2%

13.2% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -4.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.1% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.7% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.1% +1.2%

13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%