Matchup Machine

Bo Bichette

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

324th out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Bo Bichette

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Bichette
10

Model Prediction

Bo Bichette has a 37.3% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 3.9% higher than Bichette's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.3%26.1%3.0%7.6%15.6%11.2%20.4%
Bichette+3.9+0.6+0.5+1.9-1.8+3.4-0.3
Sasaki+0.2+3.5-0.1+1.3+2.2-3.2-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Bo Bichette is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Bichette has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Bo Bichette has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Bo Bichette's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% -4.7% 5%         Walk -2.0% +27.6% 37%         In Play +7.1% -23.0% 39%         On Base +3.7% +14.9% 31%         Hit +5.7% -12.8% 14%         Single +3.1% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -6.7% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -3.1%

History

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