Matchup Machine

Bo Bichette

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matchup for Colin Rea

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Colin Rea

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matchup for Bo Bichette

29th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Bichette
10

Model Prediction

Bo Bichette has a 36.8% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 3.4% higher than Bichette's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Rea.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.8%31.3%3.4%6.8%21.1%5.4%15.3%
Bichette+3.4+5.8+0.9+1.1+3.7-2.4-5.4
Rea+2.3+3.90.0+0.4+3.5-1.5-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Bo Bichette is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bichette has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Bo Bichette has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
29%
   Cutter (R)
22%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
8%
   Curve (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Bo Bichette's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% -3.1% 5%         Walk -2.0% -1.6% 37%         In Play +7.1% +4.8% 39%         On Base +3.7% +0.8% 31%         Hit +5.7% +2.5% 14%         Single +3.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +1.2%

History

Bo Bichette has 3 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.640.000.580.060.213
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-10Lineout58%5%37%
2024-06-10Pop Out99%
2024-06-10Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.