Matchup Machine

Bo Bichette

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matchup for Domingo German

329th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Domingo German

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matchup for Bo Bichette

204th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Strong advantage for Bichette
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Model Prediction

Bo Bichette has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Domingo German, which is 1.0% higher than Bichette's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing German.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%25.9%2.9%6.0%17.0%8.5%19.5%
Bichette+1.0+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.4+0.6-1.2
German+0.6+2.9-0.1+1.0+2.0-2.3-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Bo Bichette is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Domingo German is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bichette has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Domingo German throws a Curve 36% of the time. Bo Bichette has an A+ grade against right-handed Curves

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Curve (R)
36%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Bo Bichette's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Domingo German strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% +2.5% 5%         Walk -2.0% 0.0% 37%         In Play +7.1% -2.5% 39%         On Base +3.7% -3.0% 31%         Hit +5.7% -3.0% 14%         Single +3.1% -1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.2%

History

Bo Bichette has 4 plate appearances against Domingo German in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.580.000.070.500.144
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-16Groundout17%82%
2023-04-21Pop Out99%
2023-04-21Pop Out2%5%93%
2023-04-21Lineout5%28%67%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.