Matchup Machine

Will Benson

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

12th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Will Benson

551st out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Extreme advantage for Gilbert
10

Model Prediction

Will Benson has a 20.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 7.1% lower than Benson's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction20.9%14.8%2.7%3.9%8.2%6.1%51.3%
Benson-7.1-2.1-0.4-0.1-1.5-5.0+10.6
Gilbert-3.8-5.0+0.3-1.1-4.1+1.2+16.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Benson is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Benson has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Will Benson has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

23.3% of Will Benson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.7% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 8%         Strikeout +14.7% +4.3% 3%         Walk +2.0% -4.2% 46%         In Play -16.7% 0.0% 39%         On Base -6.7% -7.3% 31%         Hit -8.7% -3.1% 14%         Single -5.1% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -4.7% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.5%

History

Will Benson has 5 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552020200.400
Expected From Contact →1.980.011.650.320.396
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-16Groundout
2024-04-16Strikeout
2024-04-16Strikeout
2023-09-06Double1%77%2%20%
2023-09-06Double88%10%1%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.