Matchup Machine

Will Benson

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

19th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Will Benson

170th out of 567 (Best 31%)

Moderate advantage for Beeks
4

Model Prediction

Will Benson has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.8% higher than Benson's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%18.2%2.6%3.9%11.6%12.6%33.0%
Benson+2.8+1.3-0.5-0.1+1.9+1.5-7.7
Beeks-2.7-5.9+0.1-1.0-5.1+3.3+14.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Benson is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Benson has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Will Benson hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

23.3% of Will Benson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.7% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 8%         Strikeout +14.7% -2.5% 3%         Walk +2.0% -0.1% 46%         In Play -16.7% +2.6% 39%         On Base -6.7% +0.4% 31%         Hit -8.7% +0.5% 14%         Single -5.1% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -4.7% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -1.3%

History

Will Benson has 1 plate appearance against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.180.000.110.080.181
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-21Lineout11%8%82%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.