Matchup Machine

Will Benson

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matchup for Ross Stripling

6th out of 436 (Best 2%)

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Ross Stripling

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matchup for Will Benson

62nd out of 567 (Best 12%)

Leans in favor of Benson
2

Model Prediction

Will Benson has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 2.6% higher than Benson's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Stripling.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%23.0%3.1%5.9%14.0%7.6%27.7%
Benson+2.6+6.1+0.0+1.9+4.2-3.5-13.0
Stripling-4.2-6.0+0.4-0.1-6.4+1.7+14.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Benson is better vs right-handed pitching. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Benson has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Will Benson has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
19%
   Kn-Curve (R)
16%
   Sinker (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

23.3% of Will Benson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.7% higher than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 8%         Strikeout +14.7% +3.2% 3%         Walk +2.0% -2.9% 46%         In Play -16.7% -0.3% 39%         On Base -6.7% -3.9% 31%         Hit -8.7% -0.9% 14%         Single -5.1% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -4.7% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.1%

History

Will Benson has 2 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100000.500
Expected From Contact →0.980.700.230.050.490
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-19Home Run70%23%6%
2023-07-19Groundout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.