Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

126th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Jo Adell

375th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Moderate advantage for Bibee
3

Model Prediction

Jo Adell has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 1.3% lower than Adell's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%19.9%3.2%4.5%12.1%10.0%33.1%
Adell-1.3-1.5+0.1-0.2-1.4+0.2+3.5
Bibee-1.2-2.1+0.4-0.6-2.0+0.9+8.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jo Adell is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Adell has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Jo Adell has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Jo Adell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% +2.8% 4%         Walk +0.1% -1.3% 41%         In Play -4.7% -1.5% 39%         On Base -3.5% -1.1% 31%         Hit -3.6% +0.2% 14%         Single -2.7% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.2%

History

Jo Adell has 5 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.320.200.040.080.064
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-25Field Error
2024-05-25Groundout4%96%
2024-05-25Flyout99%
2024-05-03Groundout4%96%
2024-05-03Flyout20%3%76%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.