Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 14% of matchups for Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

Worst 18% of matchups for Jo Adell

Extreme advantage for Bieber

-9

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.9%	3.5%	9.9%	7.5%	48.1%
MLB (+/-)	+0.0	-0.8	-4.1	-2.3	+23.0
Adell	+0.1	+0.1	+0.2	-2.1	+8.2
Bieber	-0.4	-1.3	-5.1	-0.9	+18.0

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.9%

3.5%

9.9%

7.5%

48.1%

MLB (+/-)

+0.0

-0.8

-4.1

-2.3

+23.0

Adell

+0.1

+0.2

-2.1

+8.2

Bieber

-0.4

-1.3

-5.1

-0.9

+18.0

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			1.53	0.82	0.02	0.69			.509

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-04-25	Pop Out				99%
2022-04-25	Single			68%	32%
2022-04-25	Flyout	82%			16%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	37	49%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

49%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
56%	44	Fastball	46	59%
25%	0	Breaking	21	38%
11%	33	Offspeed	60	4%
		------------------
59%	8	Four-Seam FB	38	35%
49%	-4	Slider	7	24%
55%	26	Cutter	6	23%
27%	15	Knuckle-Curve	43	13%
62%	17	Changeup	52	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

59%

25%

Breaking

38%

11%

Offspeed

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

35%

49%

-4

Slider

24%

55%

Cutter

23%

27%

Knuckle-Curve

13%

62%

Changeup

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	13	18%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	20	14%
62%	34	Top of zone	27	10%
81%	25	Middle	46	5%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	57	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

18%

66%

Bottom of zone

14%

62%

Top of zone

10%

81%

Middle

59%

In / Arm Side

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	80	49%	⭐⭐
	49%	47	Below the zone	62	45%
	29%	53	Above the zone	38	13%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	9	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

49%

⭐⭐

49%

Below the zone

45%

29%

Above the zone

13%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
47%	61	Batter Behind	47	31%
48%	50	First Pitch	43	27%
52%	27	2 Strikes	39	27%
71%	0	Batter Ahead	42	23%
64%	14	3 Balls	42	7%
59%	19	Full Count	40	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

47%

Batter Behind

31%

48%

First Pitch

27%

52%

2 Strikes

27%

71%

Batter Ahead

23%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count