Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

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matchup for Tobias Myers

117th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Tobias Myers

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matchup for Jo Adell

296th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Adell
1

Model Prediction

Jo Adell has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Tobias Myers, which is 1.3% lower than Adell's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Myers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%22.5%3.1%6.4%13.0%7.4%29.9%
Adell-1.3+1.10.0+1.6-0.6-2.4+0.2
Myers-1.8-1.7+0.1+0.4-2.1-0.2+5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jo Adell is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tobias Myers is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adell has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tobias Myers throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Jo Adell has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Cutter (R)
22%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Jo Adell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Tobias Myers strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% -1.6% 4%         Walk +0.1% -1.7% 41%         In Play -4.7% +3.3% 39%         On Base -3.5% +0.5% 31%         Hit -3.6% +2.2% 14%         Single -2.7% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.5%

History

Jo Adell has 2 plate appearances against Tobias Myers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.010.000.006
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-18Strikeout
2024-06-18Flyout1%99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.