Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 18% of matchups for Matt Manning

Matt Manning

Best 18% of matchups for Jo Adell

Moderate advantage for Manning

- 5

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.5%	4.3%	10.0%	7.8%	30.6%
MLB (+/-)	+0.7	+0.1	-3.9	-1.9	+5.4
Adell	+0.8	+0.9	+0.4	-1.7	-9.3
Manning	-0.1	-0.6	-4.0	+0.3	+12.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.5%

4.3%

10.0%

7.8%

30.6%

MLB (+/-)

+0.7

+0.1

-3.9

-1.9

+5.4

Adell

+0.8

+0.9

+0.4

-1.7

-9.3

Manning

-0.1

-0.6

-4.0

+0.3

+12.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	5	0	0	0	0	3	1	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.18	0.00	0.01	0.18			.037

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-19	Strikeout
2022-08-19	Strikeout
2022-08-19	Strikeout
2021-08-19	Walk
2021-08-19	Groundout			18%	82%
2021-08-19	Pop Out				99%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	54	52%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

52%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
25%	0	Breaking	1	49%
56%	44	Fastball	57	48%
11%	33	Offspeed	68	4%
		------------------
59%	8	Four-Seam FB	36	47%
49%	-4	Slider	23	31%
34%	40	Curveball	-8	18%
62%	17	Changeup	63	4%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

25%

Breaking

49%

56%

Fastball

48%

11%

Offspeed

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

47%

49%

-4

Slider

31%

34%

Curveball

-8

18%

62%

Changeup

⭐

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	22	Bottom of zone	54	15%
62%	34	Top of zone	41	13%
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	27	13%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	84	10%	⭐⭐
81%	25	Middle	53	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

15%

62%

Top of zone

13%

83%

Away / Glove Side

13%

59%

In / Arm Side

10%

⭐⭐

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	56	35%
	49%	47	Below the zone	21	30%
	29%	53	Above the zone	45	21%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	16	13%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

35%

49%

Below the zone

30%

29%

Above the zone

21%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

13%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
47%	61	Batter Behind	24	31%
52%	27	2 Strikes	22	28%
48%	50	First Pitch	63	27%
71%	0	Batter Ahead	53	25%
64%	14	3 Balls	42	6%
59%	19	Full Count	41	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

47%

Batter Behind

31%

52%

2 Strikes

28%

48%

First Pitch

27%

71%

Batter Ahead

25%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count