Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 13% of matchups for Phil Maton

Phil Maton

Worst 19% of matchups for Jo Adell

Extreme advantage for Maton

-9

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.5%	3.4%	7.5%	10.6%	45.9%
MLB (+/-)	-0.3	-0.9	-6.4	+0.9	+20.7
Adell	-0.2	-0.0	-2.1	+1.1	+6.0
Maton	-0.7	-0.8	-4.5	-0.9	+18.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.5%

3.4%

7.5%

10.6%

45.9%

MLB (+/-)

-0.3

-0.9

-6.4

+0.9

+20.7

Adell

-0.2

-0.0

-2.1

+1.1

+6.0

Maton

-0.7

-0.8

-4.5

-0.9

+18.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	8	1	0	0	1	3	0	.125
Expected From Contact →			1.22	0.00	0.08	1.14			.152

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-10	Groundout		4%	4%	93%
2022-07-13	Groundout		1%	7%	92%
2022-04-20	Flyout		2%	4%	94%
2022-04-18	Single			87%	13%
2022-04-10	Strikeout
2022-04-07	Strikeout
2021-09-10	Groundout			13%	87%
2021-08-14	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	53	51%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

51%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
25%	0	Breaking	88	63%	⭐⭐
56%	44	Fastball	29	37%
		------------------
34%	40	Curveball	78	40%
59%	8	Four-Seam FB	21	32%
49%	-4	Slider	56	23%
45%	102	Sinker	66	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

25%

Breaking

63%

⭐⭐

56%

Fastball

37%

------------------

34%

Curveball

40%

59%

Four-Seam FB

32%

49%

-4

Slider

23%

45%

102

Sinker

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	30	13%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	60	13%
62%	34	Top of zone	42	10%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	77	7%	⭐
81%	25	Middle	43	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

13%

66%

Bottom of zone

13%

62%

Top of zone

10%

59%

In / Arm Side

⭐

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	103	42%	⭐⭐
	49%	47	Below the zone	86	33%
	29%	53	Above the zone	37	25%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	3	13%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

103

42%

⭐⭐

49%

Below the zone

33%

29%

Above the zone

25%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

13%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
47%	61	Batter Behind	52	31%
52%	27	2 Strikes	45	28%
48%	50	First Pitch	63	27%
71%	0	Batter Ahead	57	25%
64%	14	3 Balls	55	8%
59%	19	Full Count	20	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

47%

Batter Behind

31%

52%

2 Strikes

28%

48%

First Pitch

27%

71%

Batter Ahead

25%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count