Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 20% of matchups for Tony Gonsolin

Tony Gonsolin

Best 9% of matchups for Jo Adell

Moderate advantage for Gonsolin

- 3

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.5%	3.7%	11.0%	10.2%	32.3%
MLB (+/-)	+0.7	-0.5	-2.9	+0.4	+7.1
Adell	+0.8	+0.3	+1.4	+0.6	-7.6
Gonsolin	-0.2	-1.0	-3.9	+0.6	+11.9

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.5%

3.7%

11.0%

10.2%

32.3%

MLB (+/-)

+0.7

-0.5

-2.9

+0.4

+7.1

Adell

+0.8

+0.3

+1.4

+0.6

-7.6

Gonsolin

-0.2

-1.0

-3.9

+0.6

+11.9

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.08	0.00	0.00	0.08			.026

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-07	Pop Out				100%
2023-07-07	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-07-07	Strikeout
2020-09-26	Single		23%	66%	11%
2020-09-26	Double		77%	18%	5%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	22	51%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

51%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	34	39%
	25%	0	Breaking	-14	34%
	11%	33	Offspeed	-5	27%
			------------------
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	13	39%
⭐	56%	73	Splitter	-145	27%
	49%	-4	Slider	-1	18%
	34%	40	Curveball	-1	15%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

39%

25%

Breaking

-14

34%

11%

Offspeed

-5

27%

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

39%

⭐

56%

Splitter

-145

27%

49%

-4

Slider

-1

18%

34%

Curveball

-1

15%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	8	15%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	13	12%
62%	34	Top of zone	13	10%
81%	25	Middle	23	6%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	71	4%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

15%

66%

Bottom of zone

12%

62%

Top of zone

10%

81%

Middle

59%

In / Arm Side

⭐

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	40	49%
	49%	47	Below the zone	20	41%
	29%	53	Above the zone	34	19%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	16	8%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

49%

Below the zone

41%

29%

Above the zone

19%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	47%	61	Batter Behind	5	32%
	52%	27	2 Strikes	1	30%
	48%	50	First Pitch	21	26%
	71%	0	Batter Ahead	17	26%
	64%	14	3 Balls	23	8%
	59%	19	Full Count	15	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

47%

Batter Behind

32%

52%

2 Strikes

30%

48%

First Pitch

26%

71%

Batter Ahead

26%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count