Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

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matchup for Tanner Houck

97th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Jo Adell

385th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Houck
3

Model Prediction

Jo Adell has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.0% lower than Adell's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%20.1%2.3%3.5%14.2%10.2%26.2%
Adell-1.0-1.4-0.8-1.3+0.6+0.4-3.4
Houck-1.5-2.0+0.2-0.9-1.4+0.5+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jo Adell is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Adell has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Jo Adell has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Jo Adell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% -1.6% 4%         Walk +0.1% +0.2% 41%         In Play -4.7% +1.4% 39%         On Base -3.5% +0.4% 31%         Hit -3.6% +0.3% 14%         Single -2.7% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.9%

History

Jo Adell has 1 plate appearance against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-07Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.