Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 17% of matchups for Brandon Bielak

Brandon Bielak

Best 11% of matchups for Jo Adell

Moderate advantage for Bielak

- 4

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.0%	3.4%	9.0%	14.6%	35.5%
MLB (+/-)	+0.2	-0.8	-5.0	+4.9	+10.3
Adell	+0.3	+0.0	-0.7	+5.1	-4.5
Bielak	-0.1	-0.9	-4.2	+0.0	+15.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.0%

3.4%

9.0%

14.6%

35.5%

MLB (+/-)

+0.2

-0.8

-5.0

+4.9

+10.3

Adell

+0.3

+0.0

-0.7

+5.1

-4.5

Bielak

-0.1

-0.9

-4.2

+0.0

+15.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.18	0.00	0.01	0.17			.092

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-04	GIDP		1%	5%	94%
2021-09-11	Lineout			12%	88%
2020-09-05	Home Run	93%	2%		5%
2020-09-05	Strikeout
2020-08-25	Double		45%	31%	25%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	8	55%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

55%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	11	53%
	11%	33	Offspeed	48	25%
	25%	0	Breaking	30	23%
			------------------
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	14	31%
	62%	17	Changeup	46	25%
⭐⭐	45%	102	Sinker	36	22%
	49%	-4	Slider	26	11%
	34%	40	Curveball	35	11%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

53%

11%

Offspeed

25%

Breaking

23%

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

31%

62%

Changeup

25%

⭐⭐

45%

102

Sinker

22%

49%

-4

Slider

11%

34%

Curveball

11%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	22	Bottom of zone	30	13%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	5	13%
62%	34	Top of zone	23	9%
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	29	8%
81%	25	Middle	33	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

13%

59%

In / Arm Side

13%

62%

Top of zone

83%

Away / Glove Side

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	49%	47	Below the zone	34	41%
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	28	29%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	24	26%
	29%	53	Above the zone	9	17%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

49%

Below the zone

41%

45%

Away / Glove Side

29%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

26%

29%

Above the zone

17%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
71%	0	Batter Ahead	6	33%
52%	27	2 Strikes	28	26%
48%	50	First Pitch	16	25%
47%	61	Batter Behind	38	23%
64%	14	3 Balls	52	10%
59%	19	Full Count	34	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

71%

Batter Ahead

33%

52%

2 Strikes

26%

48%

First Pitch

25%

47%

Batter Behind

23%

64%

3 Balls

10%

59%

Full Count