Matchup Machine

      Jo Adell

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      matchup for C. Sanchez

      256th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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      Cristopher Sanchez

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      matchup for Jo Adell

      397th out of 564 (Worst 30%)

      Moderate advantage for Sanchez
      3

      Model Prediction

      Jo Adell has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 1.6% lower than Adell's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Sanchez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jo Adell is better vs left-handed pitching. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Adell has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. Jo Adell has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      49%
         Changeup (L)
      32%
         Slider (L)
      18%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.4% of Jo Adell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% -2.7% 4%         Walk +0.1% -2.4% 41%         In Play -4.7% +5.1% 39%         On Base -3.5% +1.4% 31%         Hit -3.6% +3.7% 14%         Single -2.7% +2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +2.6% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -1.0%

      History

      Jo Adell has 3 plate appearances against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331100000.333
      Expected From Contact →1.380.880.120.380.459
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-29Forceout4%96%
      2024-04-29GIDP33%67%
      2024-04-29Home Run88%12%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.