Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 14% of matchups for Bryan Abreu

Bryan Abreu

Worst 5% of matchups for Jo Adell

Extreme advantage for Abreu

-10

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.4%	2.7%	7.0%	10.6%	52.4%
MLB (+/-)	-0.4	-1.6	-6.9	+0.9	+27.2
Adell	-0.3	-0.7	-2.6	+1.1	+12.5
Abreu	-0.5	-1.2	-3.8	-1.8	+18.4

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.4%

2.7%

7.0%

10.6%

52.4%

MLB (+/-)

-0.4

-1.6

-6.9

+0.9

+27.2

Adell

-0.3

-0.7

-2.6

+1.1

+12.5

Abreu

-0.5

-1.2

-3.8

-1.8

+18.4

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	.200
Expected From Contact →			0.53	0.00	0.01	0.52			.106

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-11	Pop Out				100%
2022-09-02	Strikeout
2022-07-13	Single			52%	47%
2022-04-19	Strikeout
2022-04-08	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	95	47%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

47%

⭐⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
25%	0	Breaking	107	58%	⭐⭐
56%	44	Fastball	76	42%
		------------------
49%	-4	Slider	100	49%	⭐⭐
59%	8	Four-Seam FB	72	42%	⭐
34%	40	Curveball	36	8%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

25%

Breaking

107

58%

⭐⭐

56%

Fastball

42%

------------------

49%

-4

Slider

100

49%

⭐⭐

59%

Four-Seam FB

42%

⭐

34%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	79	13%	⭐
66%	22	Bottom of zone	104	13%	⭐⭐
62%	34	Top of zone	88	11%	⭐
59%	19	In / Arm Side	100	8%	⭐⭐
81%	25	Middle	86	6%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

13%

⭐

66%

Bottom of zone

104

13%

⭐⭐

62%

Top of zone

11%

⭐

59%

In / Arm Side

100

⭐⭐

81%

Middle

⭐⭐

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	101	37%	⭐⭐
	49%	47	Below the zone	99	37%	⭐
	29%	53	Above the zone	51	23%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	13	13%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

101

37%

⭐⭐

49%

Below the zone

37%

⭐

29%

Above the zone

23%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

13%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
52%	27	2 Strikes	98	30%	⭐⭐
71%	0	Batter Ahead	101	29%	⭐⭐
47%	61	Batter Behind	94	28%
48%	50	First Pitch	100	24%	⭐
64%	14	3 Balls	90	9%	⭐⭐
59%	19	Full Count	84	5%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

2 Strikes

30%

⭐⭐

71%

Batter Ahead

101

29%

⭐⭐

47%

Batter Behind

28%

48%

First Pitch

100

24%

⭐

64%

3 Balls

⭐⭐

59%

Full Count

⭐⭐