Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 21% of matchups for Dane Dunning

Dane Dunning

Best 13% of matchups for Jo Adell

Moderate advantage for Dunning

- 4

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.2%	4.1%	10.4%	10.5%	34.4%
MLB (+/-)	+0.3	-0.2	-3.5	+0.8	+9.2
Adell	+0.4	+0.7	+0.8	+1.0	-5.5
Dunning	+0.1	-0.6	-4.4	-0.2	+12.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.2%

4.1%

10.4%

10.5%

34.4%

MLB (+/-)

+0.3

-0.2

-3.5

+0.8

+9.2

Adell

+0.4

+0.7

+0.8

+1.0

-5.5

Dunning

+0.1

-0.6

-4.4

-0.2

+12.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.16	0.00	0.02	0.14			.055

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-27	Groundout			6%	94%
2023-09-27	Groundout		2%	7%	91%
2023-09-27	Pop Out			1%	98%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	2	53%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

53%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	-1	56%
	25%	0	Breaking	29	29%
	11%	33	Offspeed	-2	15%
			------------------
⭐⭐	45%	102	Sinker	2	33%
	49%	-4	Slider	26	24%
	55%	26	Cutter	21	20%
	62%	17	Changeup	-13	15%
	34%	40	Curveball	35	5%
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	28	3%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

-1

56%

25%

Breaking

29%

11%

Offspeed

-2

15%

------------------

⭐⭐

45%

102

Sinker

33%

49%

-4

Slider

24%

55%

Cutter

20%

62%

Changeup

-13

15%

34%

Curveball

59%

Four-Seam FB

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	22	Bottom of zone	-26	14%
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	34	13%
62%	34	Top of zone	-4	11%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	-2	9%
81%	25	Middle	6	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

-26

14%

83%

Away / Glove Side

13%

62%

Top of zone

-4

11%

59%

In / Arm Side

-2

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	74	42%	⭐
	49%	47	Below the zone	42	39%
	29%	53	Above the zone	7	17%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	5	11%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

42%

⭐

49%

Below the zone

39%

29%

Above the zone

17%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

11%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	47%	61	Batter Behind	-2	29%
	52%	27	2 Strikes	-2	29%
	48%	50	First Pitch	1	27%
	71%	0	Batter Ahead	-7	26%
	64%	14	3 Balls	10	8%
	59%	19	Full Count	8	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

47%

Batter Behind

-2

29%

52%

2 Strikes

-2

29%

48%

First Pitch

27%

71%

Batter Ahead

-7

26%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count