Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jo Adell

matchup for Luis Severino

119th out of 436 (Best 28%)

Luis Severino

matchup for Jo Adell

428th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Severino

Jo Adell has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 3.0% lower than Adell's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	19.8%	3.0%	3.9%	13.0%	8.4%	30.0%
Adell	-3.0	-1.6	-0.1	-0.9	-0.6	-1.3	+0.4
Severino	-1.8	-1.5	+0.5	-0.2	-1.7	-0.4	+6.7

Jo Adell is worse vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Adell has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jo Adell has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jo Adell has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Jo Adell has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

17.4% of Jo Adell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.7% +0.9% 4%

Walk +0.1% -1.1% 41%

In Play -4.7% +0.2% 39%

On Base -3.5% -0.9% 31%

Hit -3.6% +0.2% 14%

Single -2.7% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -0.5%

31.2% of Jo Adell's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.3% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -5.9% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +5.8% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.2% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% -1.4% 3%

Pop up +5.6% -0.7%

26.9% of Jo Adell's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.5% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.5% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.2% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.4% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% -0.5%

12.2% of Jo Adell's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%