Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 19% of matchups for Cal Quantrill

Cal Quantrill

Best 2% of matchups for Jo Adell

Leans in favor of Adell

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.9%	4.1%	11.9%	12.9%	28.3%
MLB (+/-)	+0.1	-0.2	-2.0	+3.2	+3.2
Adell	+0.2	+0.7	+2.3	+3.4	-11.6
Quantrill	-0.1	-0.5	-4.8	+1.6	+12.6

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.9%

4.1%

11.9%

12.9%

28.3%

MLB (+/-)

+0.1

-0.2

-2.0

+3.2

Adell

+0.2

+0.7

+2.3

+3.4

-11.6

Quantrill

-0.1

-0.5

-4.8

+1.6

+12.6

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	.200
Expected From Contact →			1.13	0.00	0.01	1.12			.226

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-04-28	Single			94%	6%
2022-04-28	Groundout			10%	90%
2022-04-28	Groundout			9%	91%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	21	48%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

48%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	39	66%
	11%	33	Offspeed	17	23%
	25%	0	Breaking	16	11%
			------------------
	45%	102	Sinker	86	41%
	55%	26	Cutter	22	23%
	62%	17	Changeup	27	12%
⭐	56%	73	Splitter	-29	11%
	34%	40	Curveball	11	11%
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	30	2%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

66%

11%

Offspeed

23%

25%

Breaking

11%

------------------

45%

102

Sinker

41%

55%

Cutter

23%

62%

Changeup

12%

⭐

56%

Splitter

-29

11%

34%

Curveball

11%

59%

Four-Seam FB

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	22	Bottom of zone	17	12%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	36	12%
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	18	10%
62%	34	Top of zone	38	9%
81%	25	Middle	37	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

12%

59%

In / Arm Side

12%

83%

Away / Glove Side

10%

62%

Top of zone

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	49%	47	Below the zone	38	30%
	29%	53	Above the zone	8	29%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	9	25%
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	40	25%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

49%

Below the zone

30%

29%

Above the zone

29%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

25%

45%

Away / Glove Side

25%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	52%	27	2 Strikes	18	29%
	71%	0	Batter Ahead	34	29%
⭐	47%	61	Batter Behind	16	26%
	48%	50	First Pitch	27	26%
	64%	14	3 Balls	44	9%
	59%	19	Full Count	17	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

2 Strikes

29%

71%

Batter Ahead

29%

⭐

47%

Batter Behind

26%

48%

First Pitch

26%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count