Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jo Adell

matchup for Michael Wacha

253rd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Michael Wacha

matchup for Jo Adell

230th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Moderate advantage for Adell

Jo Adell has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 1.2% higher than Adell's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Wacha.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.4%	22.7%	3.1%	4.8%	14.8%	9.7%	26.3%
Adell	+1.2	+1.3	0.0	+0.1	+1.2	-0.1	-3.4
Wacha	+1.2	-0.4	+0.3	-0.3	-0.5	+1.7	+4.9

Jo Adell is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Adell has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Jo Adell hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Changeup (R)

32%

4-Seam (R)

31%

Cutter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

8% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jo Adell has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

32% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Jo Adell hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 32%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+11%

High Ride 19%

+9%

17.4% of Jo Adell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.7% +0.4% 4%

Walk +0.1% -2.0% 41%

In Play -4.7% +1.5% 39%

On Base -3.5% -3.0% 31%

Hit -3.6% -1.0% 14%

Single -2.7% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +0.1%

31.2% of Jo Adell's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha induces Standard Grounders at a 33.6% rate, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.3% -0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -5.9% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +5.8% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% 0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% -1.8% 3%

Pop up +5.6% +0.6%

26.9% of Jo Adell's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.5% +0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.5% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.2% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.4% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% +2.6%

12.2% of Jo Adell's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.3% -2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.1% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° -3.5% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.1% +2.8% 15%

19 to 28° -2.5% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° +0.8% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° +4.0% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +5.7% +0.6%

Jo Adell has 6 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	0.200
Expected From Contact →			1.02	0.00	0.00	1.02			0.204

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-09	Walk
2024-05-09	Single			95%	5%
2024-05-09	Strikeout
2022-06-06	Strikeout
2022-06-06	Strikeout
2022-06-06	Groundout			7%	93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe