Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 12% of matchups for Cole Irvin

Cole Irvin

Worst 27% of matchups for Jo Adell

Extreme advantage for Irvin

-9

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.6%	3.5%	9.6%	7.5%	38.2%
MLB (+/-)	-0.2	-0.8	-4.3	-2.3	+13.0
Adell	-0.1	+0.1	-0.0	-2.1	-1.7
Irvin	-0.4	-1.0	-4.3	-0.3	+16.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.6%

3.5%

9.6%

7.5%

38.2%

MLB (+/-)

-0.2

-0.8

-4.3

-2.3

+13.0

Adell

-0.1

+0.1

-0.0

-2.1

-1.7

Irvin

-0.4

-1.0

-4.3

-0.3

+16.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	10	10	1	0	0	1	6	0	.100
Expected From Contact →			0.56	0.00	0.25	0.31			.056

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-10-04	Strikeout
2022-10-04	Strikeout
2022-09-29	Strikeout
2022-09-29	Strikeout
2022-08-08	Strikeout
2022-08-08	Groundout			11%	88%
2022-08-08	Forceout			1%	99%
2022-08-02	Single		12%	11%	78%
2022-08-02	Strikeout
2022-08-02	Lineout		13%	8%	78%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	18	RHB vs LHP	0	81%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

RHB vs LHP

81%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	0	64%
	11%	33	Offspeed	42	21%
	25%	0	Breaking	18	14%
			------------------
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	9	29%
	62%	17	Changeup	42	21%
⭐⭐	45%	102	Sinker	26	20%
	55%	26	Cutter	19	15%
	34%	40	Curveball	23	14%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

64%

11%

Offspeed

21%

25%

Breaking

14%

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

29%

62%

Changeup

21%

⭐⭐

45%

102

Sinker

20%

55%

Cutter

15%

34%

Curveball

14%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
84%	25	Away / Arm Side	-17	16%
62%	34	Top of zone	-11	13%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	5	12%
66%	17	In / Glove Side	27	7%
92%	41	Middle	-17	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

84%

Away / Arm Side

-17

16%

62%

Top of zone

-11

13%

66%

Bottom of zone

12%

66%

In / Glove Side

92%

Middle

-17

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
34%	19	Away / Arm Side	42	33%
49%	47	Below the zone	35	31%
29%	53	Above the zone	35	21%
40%	13	In / Glove Side	59	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

34%

Away / Arm Side

33%

49%

Below the zone

31%

29%

Above the zone

21%

40%

In / Glove Side

14%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	47%	61	Batter Behind	-14	32%
	52%	27	2 Strikes	8	31%
	71%	0	Batter Ahead	21	26%
	48%	50	First Pitch	0	26%
	64%	14	3 Balls	58	8%
	59%	19	Full Count	51	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

47%

Batter Behind

-14

32%

52%

2 Strikes

31%

71%

Batter Ahead

26%

48%

First Pitch

26%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count