Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 13% of matchups for Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta

Worst 3% of matchups for Jo Adell

Extreme advantage for Pivetta

-10

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.8%	3.4%	6.9%	7.4%	54.1%
MLB (+/-)	+0.0	-0.8	-7.1	-2.4	+28.9
Adell	+0.1	+0.0	-2.8	-2.2	+14.2
Pivetta	-0.5	-1.3	-4.8	-1.1	+19.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.8%

3.4%

6.9%

7.4%

54.1%

MLB (+/-)

+0.0

-0.8

-7.1

-2.4

+28.9

Adell

+0.1

+0.0

-2.8

-2.2

+14.2

Pivetta

-0.5

-1.3

-4.8

-1.1

+19.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	1	1.000
Expected From Contact →			1.14	0.01	0.59	0.54			.570

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-06-09	Single		1%	34%	65%
2022-06-09	Double		58%	20%	21%
2022-06-09	Walk

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	89	58%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

58%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
56%	44	Fastball	81	54%
25%	0	Breaking	88	45%	⭐⭐
		------------------
59%	8	Four-Seam FB	61	51%	⭐
34%	40	Curveball	90	25%	⭐
49%	-4	Slider	58	21%
55%	26	Cutter	70	4%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

54%

25%

Breaking

45%

⭐⭐

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

51%

⭐

34%

Curveball

25%

⭐

49%

-4

Slider

21%

55%

Cutter

⭐

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
62%	34	Top of zone	57	12%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	85	11%	⭐⭐
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	56	11%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	93	7%	⭐⭐
81%	25	Middle	45	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

62%

Top of zone

12%

66%

Bottom of zone

11%

⭐⭐

83%

Away / Glove Side

11%

59%

In / Arm Side

⭐⭐

81%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
45%	19	Away / Glove Side	97	34%	⭐⭐
49%	47	Below the zone	92	30%	⭐
29%	53	Above the zone	83	29%
32%	86	In / Arm Side	50	16%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

34%

⭐⭐

49%

Below the zone

30%

⭐

29%

Above the zone

29%

32%

In / Arm Side

16%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
47%	61	Batter Behind	80	32%
52%	27	2 Strikes	78	32%	⭐
71%	0	Batter Ahead	87	25%	⭐⭐
48%	50	First Pitch	101	24%	⭐
64%	14	3 Balls	65	7%	⭐
59%	19	Full Count	67	4%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

47%

Batter Behind

32%

52%

2 Strikes

32%

⭐

71%

Batter Ahead

25%

⭐⭐

48%

First Pitch

101

24%

⭐

64%

3 Balls

⭐

59%

Full Count

⭐