Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

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matchup for Thyago Vieira

131st out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Thyago Vieira

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matchup for Jo Adell

316th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Vieira
1

Model Prediction

Jo Adell has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 1.4% higher than Adell's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Vieira.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%18.8%2.6%4.1%12.1%13.9%30.2%
Adell+1.4-2.7-0.5-0.7-1.5+4.1+0.6
Vieira-1.1-1.4+0.3-0.5-1.2+0.3+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jo Adell is worse vs right-handed pitching. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Adell has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jo Adell has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Jo Adell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% -2.2% 4%         Walk +0.1% +4.2% 41%         In Play -4.7% -2.0% 39%         On Base -3.5% +1.5% 31%         Hit -3.6% -2.7% 14%         Single -2.7% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.9%

History

Jo Adell has 1 plate appearance against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.008
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-12Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.