Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 12% of matchups for E. Rodriguez

Eduardo Rodriguez

Best 46% of matchups for Jo Adell

Strong advantage for Rodriguez

- 7

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.9%	3.2%	10.1%	9.8%	36.4%
MLB (+/-)	+0.1	-1.1	-3.9	+0.1	+11.2
Adell	+0.2	-0.2	+0.4	+0.3	-3.6
Rodriguez	-0.3	-1.1	-4.4	-0.5	+16.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.9%

3.2%

10.1%

9.8%

36.4%

MLB (+/-)

+0.1

-1.1

-3.9

+0.1

+11.2

Adell

+0.2

-0.2

+0.4

+0.3

-3.6

Rodriguez

-0.3

-1.1

-4.4

-0.5

+16.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	1	0	0	3	0	.250
Expected From Contact →			0.74	0.63	0.11	0.00			.185

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-06	Home Run	63%	11%		26%
2022-09-06	Strikeout
2022-08-21	Strikeout
2022-08-21	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	18	RHB vs LHP	22	77%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

RHB vs LHP

77%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	21	74%
	11%	33	Offspeed	62	19%
	25%	0	Breaking	28	8%
			------------------
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	13	44%
	55%	26	Cutter	26	20%
	62%	17	Changeup	55	19%
⭐	45%	102	Sinker	57	10%
	49%	-4	Slider	34	8%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

74%

11%

Offspeed

19%

25%

Breaking

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

44%

55%

Cutter

20%

62%

Changeup

19%

⭐

45%

102

Sinker

10%

49%

-4

Slider

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	22	Bottom of zone	7	16%
84%	25	Away / Arm Side	36	14%
62%	34	Top of zone	27	10%
66%	17	In / Glove Side	-1	9%
92%	41	Middle	10	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

16%

84%

Away / Arm Side

14%

62%

Top of zone

10%

66%

In / Glove Side

-1

92%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
49%	47	Below the zone	29	37%
34%	19	Away / Arm Side	42	32%
29%	53	Above the zone	40	18%
40%	13	In / Glove Side	31	18%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

49%

Below the zone

37%

34%

Away / Arm Side

32%

29%

Above the zone

18%

40%

In / Glove Side

18%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
52%	27	2 Strikes	13	31%
47%	61	Batter Behind	29	30%
48%	50	First Pitch	24	25%
71%	0	Batter Ahead	11	25%
64%	14	3 Balls	18	8%
59%	19	Full Count	3	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

2 Strikes

31%

47%

Batter Behind

30%

48%

First Pitch

25%

71%

Batter Ahead

25%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count