Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 15% of matchups for Ross Stripling

Ross Stripling

Best 35% of matchups for Jo Adell

Strong advantage for Stripling

- 6

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.0%	3.6%	12.6%	6.4%	32.5%
MLB (+/-)	+0.2	-0.7	-1.4	-3.3	+7.3
Adell	+0.3	+0.2	+2.9	-3.1	-7.4
Stripling	-0.1	-1.0	-4.4	+0.3	+14.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.0%

3.6%

12.6%

6.4%

32.5%

MLB (+/-)

+0.2

-0.7

-1.4

-3.3

+7.3

Adell

+0.3

+0.2

+2.9

-3.1

-7.4

Stripling

-0.1

-1.0

-4.4

+0.3

+14.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.17	0.00	0.12	0.06			.058

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-28	Groundout		11%	6%	84%
2022-08-28	Strikeout
2022-08-28	Flyout				99%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	7	55%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

55%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	25%	0	Breaking	14	39%
	56%	44	Fastball	18	35%
	11%	33	Offspeed	-30	26%
			------------------
	49%	-4	Slider	11	29%
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	32	26%
	62%	17	Changeup	-18	26%
	27%	15	Knuckle-Curve	17	10%
⭐⭐	45%	102	Sinker	18	9%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

25%

Breaking

39%

56%

Fastball

35%

11%

Offspeed

-30

26%

------------------

49%

-4

Slider

29%

59%

Four-Seam FB

26%

62%

Changeup

-18

26%

27%

Knuckle-Curve

10%

⭐⭐

45%

102

Sinker

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	-2	15%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	-9	14%
62%	34	Top of zone	-20	12%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	-4	8%
81%	25	Middle	46	3%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

-2

15%

66%

Bottom of zone

-9

14%

62%

Top of zone

-20

12%

59%

In / Arm Side

-4

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	75	38%	⭐
	49%	47	Below the zone	28	35%
	29%	53	Above the zone	56	25%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	21	11%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

38%

⭐

49%

Below the zone

35%

29%

Above the zone

25%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

11%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	47%	61	Batter Behind	4	34%
	52%	27	2 Strikes	16	30%
	48%	50	First Pitch	25	27%
	71%	0	Batter Ahead	24	20%
	64%	14	3 Balls	58	5%
	59%	19	Full Count	63	4%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

47%

Batter Behind

34%

52%

2 Strikes

30%

48%

First Pitch

27%

71%

Batter Ahead

20%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count

⭐