Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 21% of matchups for Sonny Gray

Sonny Gray

Worst 45% of matchups for Jo Adell

Strong advantage for Gray

-8

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.8%	3.5%	10.0%	8.6%	36.8%
MLB (+/-)	-0.0	-0.7	-3.9	-1.1	+11.6
Adell	+0.1	+0.1	+0.4	-0.9	-3.2
Gray	-0.4	-0.6	-4.0	+0.6	+12.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.8%

3.5%

10.0%

8.6%

36.8%

MLB (+/-)

-0.0

-0.7

-3.9

-1.1

+11.6

Adell

+0.1

+0.4

-0.9

-3.2

Gray

-0.4

-0.6

-4.0

+0.6

+12.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			1.08	0.98	0.01	0.09			.361

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-23	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-09-23	Home Run	98%	1%
2023-09-23	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	49	54%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

54%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	37	56%
	25%	0	Breaking	71	38%	⭐
	11%	33	Offspeed	53	6%
			------------------
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	34	28%
	49%	-4	Slider	68	22%	⭐
	34%	40	Curveball	57	16%
⭐	45%	102	Sinker	46	15%
	55%	26	Cutter	71	13%	⭐
	62%	17	Changeup	44	6%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

56%

25%

Breaking

38%

⭐

11%

Offspeed

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

28%

49%

-4

Slider

22%

⭐

34%

Curveball

16%

⭐

45%

102

Sinker

15%

55%

Cutter

13%

⭐

62%

Changeup

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	26	15%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	42	12%
62%	34	Top of zone	38	12%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	54	6%
81%	25	Middle	21	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

15%

66%

Bottom of zone

12%

62%

Top of zone

12%

59%

In / Arm Side

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	97	42%	⭐⭐
	49%	47	Below the zone	88	38%	⭐
	29%	53	Above the zone	35	21%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	19	11%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

42%

⭐⭐

49%

Below the zone

38%

⭐

29%

Above the zone

21%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

11%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
47%	61	Batter Behind	49	29%
52%	27	2 Strikes	58	29%
71%	0	Batter Ahead	40	27%
48%	50	First Pitch	62	26%
64%	14	3 Balls	49	8%
59%	19	Full Count	26	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

47%

Batter Behind

29%

52%

2 Strikes

29%

71%

Batter Ahead

27%

48%

First Pitch

26%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count