Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 13% of matchups for Martin Perez

Martin Perez

Best 37% of matchups for Jo Adell

Strong advantage for Perez

- 6

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.9%	3.6%	10.1%	9.0%	32.7%
MLB (+/-)	+0.1	-0.6	-3.9	-0.7	+7.5
Adell	+0.2	+0.2	+0.4	-0.5	-7.2
Perez	-0.1	-0.9	-3.9	-0.5	+14.6

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.9%

3.6%

10.1%

9.0%

32.7%

MLB (+/-)

+0.1

-0.6

-3.9

-0.7

+7.5

Adell

+0.2

+0.4

-0.5

-7.2

Perez

-0.1

-0.9

-3.9

-0.5

+14.6

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	7	2	0	1	1	1	1	.286
Expected From Contact →			2.65	0.00	0.94	1.71			.378

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-09-22	Single			90%	10%
2022-09-22	Groundout			33%	67%
2022-09-22	Strikeout
2022-07-29	Groundout			34%	66%
2022-07-29	Walk
2022-07-29	Double		93%	6%
2022-04-17	Pop Out				100%
2022-04-17	Groundout			7%	93%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	18	RHB vs LHP	1	78%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

RHB vs LHP

78%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	4	68%
	11%	33	Offspeed	34	27%
	25%	0	Breaking	19	5%
			------------------
⭐⭐	45%	102	Sinker	5	43%
	62%	17	Changeup	31	27%
	55%	26	Cutter	39	20%
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	25	5%
	34%	40	Curveball	32	3%
	49%	-4	Slider	16	2%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

68%

11%

Offspeed

27%

25%

Breaking

------------------

⭐⭐

45%

102

Sinker

43%

62%

Changeup

27%

55%

Cutter

20%

59%

Four-Seam FB

34%

Curveball

49%

-4

Slider

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	22	Bottom of zone	3	12%
84%	25	Away / Arm Side	0	12%
66%	17	In / Glove Side	-12	10%
62%	34	Top of zone	15	9%
92%	41	Middle	-14	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

12%

84%

Away / Arm Side

12%

66%

In / Glove Side

-12

10%

62%

Top of zone

92%

Middle

-14

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
49%	47	Below the zone	24	40%
34%	19	Away / Arm Side	36	33%
40%	13	In / Glove Side	41	23%
29%	53	Above the zone	30	18%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

49%

Below the zone

40%

34%

Away / Arm Side

33%

40%

In / Glove Side

23%

29%

Above the zone

18%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	71%	0	Batter Ahead	14	29%
⭐	47%	61	Batter Behind	-5	28%
	48%	50	First Pitch	3	27%
	52%	27	2 Strikes	-1	26%
	64%	14	3 Balls	41	9%
	59%	19	Full Count	6	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

71%

Batter Ahead

29%

⭐

47%

Batter Behind

-5

28%

48%

First Pitch

27%

52%

2 Strikes

-1

26%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count