Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 13% of matchups for Kyle Gibson

Kyle Gibson

Best 44% of matchups for Jo Adell

Strong advantage for Gibson

- 7

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.2%	3.7%	10.4%	7.8%	35.6%
MLB (+/-)	+0.4	-0.5	-3.6	-1.9	+10.4
Adell	+0.5	+0.3	+0.7	-1.7	-4.3
Gibson	-0.2	-1.0	-5.2	-0.3	+15.4

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.2%

3.7%

10.4%

7.8%

35.6%

MLB (+/-)

+0.4

-0.5

-3.6

-1.9

+10.4

Adell

+0.5

+0.3

+0.7

-1.7

-4.3

Gibson

-0.2

-1.0

-5.2

-0.3

+15.4

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	.500
Expected From Contact →			0.11	0.00	0.00	0.11			.056

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-06-05	Single			8%	92%
2022-06-05	GIDP			3%	97%
2020-09-10	Strikeout
2020-09-10	Fielders Choice Out		7%	20%	73%
2020-09-10	Lineout			63%	37%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	36	50%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

50%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	19	56%
	25%	0	Breaking	51	27%
	11%	33	Offspeed	45	17%
			------------------
⭐⭐	45%	102	Sinker	33	26%
	49%	-4	Slider	53	19%
	62%	17	Changeup	37	17%
	55%	26	Cutter	16	17%
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	35	13%
	34%	40	Curveball	44	9%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

56%

25%

Breaking

27%

11%

Offspeed

17%

------------------

⭐⭐

45%

102

Sinker

26%

49%

-4

Slider

19%

62%

Changeup

17%

55%

Cutter

17%

59%

Four-Seam FB

13%

34%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	45	14%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	14	14%
62%	34	Top of zone	20	9%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	28	6%
81%	25	Middle	27	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

14%

66%

Bottom of zone

14%

62%

Top of zone

59%

In / Arm Side

81%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	45%	19	Away / Glove Side	73	47%	⭐
	49%	47	Below the zone	49	44%
	29%	53	Above the zone	28	16%
⭐⭐	32%	86	In / Arm Side	6	8%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

47%

⭐

49%

Below the zone

44%

29%

Above the zone

16%

⭐⭐

32%

In / Arm Side

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
71%	0	Batter Ahead	8	28%
52%	27	2 Strikes	41	27%
47%	61	Batter Behind	58	27%
48%	50	First Pitch	20	27%
64%	14	3 Balls	8	8%
59%	19	Full Count	-17	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

71%

Batter Ahead

28%

52%

2 Strikes

27%

47%

Batter Behind

27%

48%

First Pitch

27%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count

-17