Matchup Machine

Jo Adell

Best 16% of matchups for Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn

Best 3% of matchups for Jo Adell

Leans in favor of Lynn

- 1

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.6%	4.1%	10.4%	10.5%	26.7%
MLB (+/-)	+0.8	-0.2	-3.5	+0.8	+1.5
Adell	+0.9	+0.7	+0.8	+1.0	-13.2
Lynn	-0.3	-0.7	-3.9	+0.5	+12.0

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.6%

4.1%

10.4%

10.5%

26.7%

MLB (+/-)

+0.8

-0.2

-3.5

+0.8

+1.5

Adell

+0.9

+0.7

+0.8

+1.0

-13.2

Lynn

-0.3

-0.7

-3.9

+0.5

+12.0

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.03	0.00	0.02	0.02			.017

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2020-09-08	Pop Out				99%
2020-09-08	Pop Out		1%	1%	97%
2020-09-08	Walk

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	29	RHB vs RHP	57	51%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

51%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	56%	44	Fastball	52	79%
	25%	0	Breaking	25	14%
	11%	33	Offspeed	58	7%
			------------------
	59%	8	Four-Seam FB	49	43%
	55%	26	Cutter	49	23%
⭐	45%	102	Sinker	60	13%
	34%	40	Curveball	29	8%
	62%	17	Changeup	47	7%
	49%	-4	Slider	24	6%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

56%

Fastball

79%

25%

Breaking

14%

11%

Offspeed

------------------

59%

Four-Seam FB

43%

55%

Cutter

23%

⭐

45%

102

Sinker

13%

34%

Curveball

62%

Changeup

49%

-4

Slider

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
83%	13	Away / Glove Side	47	15%
62%	34	Top of zone	41	13%
66%	22	Bottom of zone	36	9%
59%	19	In / Arm Side	43	7%
81%	25	Middle	35	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

83%

Away / Glove Side

15%

62%

Top of zone

13%

66%

Bottom of zone

59%

In / Arm Side

81%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
45%	19	Away / Glove Side	67	33%	⭐
29%	53	Above the zone	61	30%
49%	47	Below the zone	44	28%
32%	86	In / Arm Side	47	19%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Away / Glove Side

33%

⭐

29%

Above the zone

30%

49%

Below the zone

28%

32%

In / Arm Side

19%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
52%	27	2 Strikes	51	32%
47%	61	Batter Behind	58	31%
71%	0	Batter Ahead	46	26%
48%	50	First Pitch	4	25%
64%	14	3 Balls	56	9%
59%	19	Full Count	20	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

2 Strikes

32%

47%

Batter Behind

31%

71%

Batter Ahead

26%

48%

First Pitch

25%

64%

3 Balls

59%

Full Count