Matchup Machine

      Ben Rortvedt

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      matchup for Colin Rea

      24th out of 436 (Best 6%)

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      Colin Rea

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      matchup for Ben Rortvedt

      122nd out of 564 (Best 22%)

      Leans in favor of Rortvedt
      2

      Model Prediction

      Ben Rortvedt has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 0.8% higher than Rortvedt's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Rea.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Ben Rortvedt is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rortvedt has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Ben Rortvedt has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      29%
         Cutter (R)
      22%
         4-Seam (R)
      21%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         Splitter (R)
      8%
         Curve (R)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.4% of Ben Rortvedt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% higher than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.1% -3.1% 4%         Walk +1.7% -1.6% 42%         In Play -4.8% +4.8% 39%         On Base +0.6% +0.8% 31%         Hit -1.1% +2.5% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +1.2%

      History

      Ben Rortvedt has 2 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221001100.500
      Expected From Contact →0.980.000.360.610.488
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-01Strikeout
      2024-05-01Single36%61%2%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.