Matchup Machine

Ben Rortvedt

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

55th out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Ben Rortvedt

32nd out of 567 (Best 6%)

Strong advantage for Rortvedt
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Model Prediction

Ben Rortvedt has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.7% higher than Rortvedt's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.0%25.6%1.5%5.3%18.8%10.4%20.5%
Rortvedt+5.7+5.9-0.1+0.8+5.1-0.1-6.6
Stroman-1.6-3.3-1.2-0.6-1.5+1.7+2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Ben Rortvedt is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rortvedt doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Ben Rortvedt has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.4% of Ben Rortvedt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.1% -3.1% 4%         Walk +1.7% -0.8% 42%         In Play -4.8% +3.9% 39%         On Base +0.6% +3.0% 31%         Hit -1.1% +3.8% 14%         Single -0.1% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -1.3% -1.1%

History

Ben Rortvedt has 5 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001100.200
Expected From Contact →1.080.000.011.060.215
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-21Strikeout
2024-07-21Groundout38%62%
2024-07-21Pickoff 1B
2024-07-10Groundout10%89%
2024-07-10Single1%58%41%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.