Matchup Machine

Mickey Moniak

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

27th out of 436 (Best 7%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Mickey Moniak

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Wantz
5

Model Prediction

Mickey Moniak has a 26.3% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 1.4% lower than Moniak's typical expectations, and 5.5% lower than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.3%17.7%3.5%4.2%9.9%8.6%31.5%
Moniak-1.4-3.2+0.5-0.5-3.2+1.8-0.2
Wantz-5.5-2.6+0.3-0.2-2.7-2.9+6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Mickey Moniak is better vs right-handed pitching. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Moniak has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Mickey Moniak has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Mickey Moniak's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +7.5% 6%         Walk -3.4% +2.0% 40%         In Play -1.5% -9.5% 39%         On Base -7.5% -6.5% 31%         Hit -4.0% -8.5% 14%         Single -2.9% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.3%

History

Mickey Moniak has 1 plate appearance against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-03Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.