Matchup Machine

Mickey Moniak

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matchup for Max Meyer

109th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Max Meyer

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matchup for Mickey Moniak

89th out of 567 (Best 17%)

Leans in favor of Moniak
2

Model Prediction

Mickey Moniak has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Max Meyer, which is 3.3% higher than Moniak's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Meyer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%23.0%3.4%5.4%14.2%7.9%26.9%
Moniak+3.3+2.2+0.3+0.8+1.1+1.1-4.9
Meyer-2.0+0.1+0.2+0.2-0.3-2.1+7.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Mickey Moniak is better vs right-handed pitching. Max Meyer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moniak has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Max Meyer throws a Slider 39% of the time. Mickey Moniak has a C+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   4-Seam (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Mickey Moniak's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Max Meyer strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -3.9% 6%         Walk -3.4% -0.1% 40%         In Play -1.5% +4.0% 39%         On Base -7.5% -0.7% 31%         Hit -4.0% -0.6% 14%         Single -2.9% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +2.2%

History

Mickey Moniak has 2 plate appearances against Max Meyer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.000.030.033
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-01Groundout3%97%
2024-04-01Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.