Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mickey Moniak

matchup for George Kirby

174th out of 436 (Best 41%)

George Kirby

matchup for Mickey Moniak

235th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Kirby

Mickey Moniak has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 0.7% lower than Moniak's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Kirby.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.0%	22.2%	3.5%	4.7%	14.0%	4.8%	25.1%
Moniak	-0.7	+1.3	+0.4	0.0	+0.9	-2.0	-6.6
Kirby	-1.2	-0.5	+0.8	-0.5	-0.8	-0.7	+4.4

Mickey Moniak is better vs right-handed pitching. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Moniak has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Mickey Moniak has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

22%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Mickey Moniak has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Mickey Moniak has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+18%

Medium Break 18%

+9%

17.5% of Mickey Moniak's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.0% +0.5% 6%

Walk -3.4% -5.1% 40%

In Play -1.5% +4.6% 39%

On Base -7.5% -3.9% 31%

Hit -4.0% +1.2% 14%

Single -2.9% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.4% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.3% -0.1%

26.6% of Mickey Moniak's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% lower than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.8% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.8% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.9% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.6% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +3.1% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +2.1%

28.3% of Mickey Moniak's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 22.6% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.6% -4.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.0% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% -1.7%

10.4% of Mickey Moniak's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.8% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +5.4% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -1.9% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +7.0% +1.9%

Mickey Moniak has 13 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 12 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	12	4	1	0	3	2	1	0.333
Expected From Contact →			3.92	1.45	0.42	2.05			0.327

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-30	Walk
2024-08-30	Home Run	99%
2024-08-30	Pop Out				100%
2024-07-13	Groundout			2%	98%
2024-07-13	Single			63%	37%
2023-08-05	Single			24%	75%
2023-08-05	Flyout	45%	26%	3%	25%
2023-08-05	Strikeout
2022-09-17	Strikeout
2022-09-17	Groundout		9%	3%	88%
2022-08-06	Flyout		1%		98%
2022-08-06	Single		1%	44%	55%
2022-08-06	Pop Out		3%	65%	32%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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