Matchup Machine

      Mickey Moniak

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      matchup for Trevor Rogers

      54th out of 436 (Best 13%)

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      Trevor Rogers

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      matchup for Mickey Moniak

      117th out of 564 (Best 22%)

      Leans in favor of Moniak
      1

      Model Prediction

      Mickey Moniak has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 2.5% higher than Moniak's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Rogers.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Mickey Moniak is worse vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Moniak doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Mickey Moniak hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      48%
         Changeup (L)
      26%
         Slider (L)
      18%
         Sinker (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.5% of Mickey Moniak's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -0.4% 6%         Walk -3.4% +0.3% 40%         In Play -1.5% +0.1% 39%         On Base -7.5% +0.7% 31%         Hit -4.0% +0.4% 14%         Single -2.9% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.8%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years