Matchup Machine

Mickey Moniak

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matchup for Ryan Feltner

94th out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Ryan Feltner

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matchup for Mickey Moniak

92nd out of 567 (Best 17%)

Leans in favor of Moniak
2

Model Prediction

Mickey Moniak has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 3.0% higher than Moniak's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Feltner.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%23.2%3.1%5.9%14.2%7.5%25.4%
Moniak+3.0+2.40.0+1.3+1.1+0.7-6.3
Feltner-2.7-1.5+0.2-0.1-1.6-1.2+5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Mickey Moniak is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moniak has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Mickey Moniak has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
15%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Mickey Moniak's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -5.1% 6%         Walk -3.4% 0.0% 40%         In Play -1.5% +5.1% 39%         On Base -7.5% +5.3% 31%         Hit -4.0% +5.3% 14%         Single -2.9% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +2.7% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.1%

History

Mickey Moniak has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332101100.667
Expected From Contact →1.650.690.120.840.552
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-01Strikeout
2024-08-01Home Run69%7%24%
2024-08-01Single5%84%11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.