Matchup Machine

Mickey Moniak

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matchup for Jake Latz

55th out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Mickey Moniak

200th out of 567 (Best 36%)

Leans in favor of Latz
2

Model Prediction

Mickey Moniak has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 2.2% higher than Moniak's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%20.1%3.0%4.3%12.8%9.8%27.3%
Moniak+2.2-0.8-0.1-0.4-0.3+3.0-4.4
Latz-4.5-0.8+0.3-0.6-0.4-3.8+4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Mickey Moniak is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Moniak doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Mickey Moniak hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Mickey Moniak's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -1.3% 6%         Walk -3.4% +6.7% 40%         In Play -1.5% -5.5% 39%         On Base -7.5% +1.7% 31%         Hit -4.0% -5.1% 14%         Single -2.9% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% -3.0% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +1.4%

History

Mickey Moniak has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.000.000.050.046
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-10Groundout5%95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.