Matchup Machine

Mickey Moniak

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matchup for Martin Perez

96th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Mickey Moniak

48th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Moderate advantage for Moniak
5

Model Prediction

Mickey Moniak has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.0% higher than Moniak's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%25.2%3.6%5.6%16.0%6.5%23.2%
Moniak+4.0+4.4+0.6+0.9+2.9-0.3-8.6
Perez-2.9-0.1+0.6+0.2-0.9-2.9+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Mickey Moniak is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moniak doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Mickey Moniak hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.5% of Mickey Moniak's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -6.1% 6%         Walk -3.4% -0.3% 40%         In Play -1.5% +6.4% 39%         On Base -7.5% +5.9% 31%         Hit -4.0% +6.3% 14%         Single -2.9% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.6%

History

Mickey Moniak has 1 plate appearance against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.120.030.090.010.118
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-14Flyout3%9%88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.