matchup for Tim Herrin
matchup for Gavin Lux
3
Gavin Lux has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Tim Herrin, which is 0.7% lower than Lux's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Herrin.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.4% | 18.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 26.5% |
| Lux | -0.7 | -2.1 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -0.9 | +1.4 | +2.3 |
| Herrin | -0.4 | -1.4 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -1.0 | +1.0 | -0.7 |
Gavin Lux is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tim Herrin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Lux has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Tim Herrin throws a Slider 33% of the time. Gavin Lux has an F grade against left-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (L)
33%
4-Seam (L)
31%
Curve (L)
26%
Sinker (L)
10%
21% of Tim Herrin's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has a C- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+2%
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Mid Challenge
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
3%
-3%
59% of Tim Herrin's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has an F grade against this type of pitch from left handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Breaking (L)
59%
+29%
Small Drop
29%
+17%
Very Fast Velo
16%
+13%
Medium Break
20%
+11%
12.9% of Gavin Lux's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. Tim Herrin strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.9%
+1.9%
3%
Walk
+2.7%
+1.8%
39%
In Play
+0.2%
-3.8%
39%
On Base
+1.9%
-3.6%
31%
Hit
-0.8%
-5.5%
14%
Single
-0.3%
-2.3%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.1%
-2.2%
3%
Home Run
-0.5%
-1.0%
38.3% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Tim Herrin induces Standard Grounders at a 44.5% rate, which is 10.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.6%
-0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
+3.9%
+10.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+3.2%
-2.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.9%
+1.8%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.7%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.5%
-0.9%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.3%
-1.1%
1%
No Doubter
-0.9%
-0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.1%
-8.3%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
+0.3%
22.0% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. 19.3% of batted balls allowed by Tim Herrin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+1.9%
+6.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.8%
+2.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.8%
-5.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+3.4%
+0.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
-2.3%
-5.0%
10.8% of Gavin Lux's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 6.0% of batted balls allowed by Tim Herrin are hit at this angle, which is 5.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+3.4%
+6.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.1%
+1.4%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.3%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-3.4%
+1.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.6%
-4.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.7%
-5.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-3.2%
+0.4%
8%
Above 50°
+0.0%
-1.1%
No History in the last 3 years
