Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gavin Lux

matchup for Tarik Skubal

267th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

Tarik Skubal

matchup for Gavin Lux

530th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Skubal

Gavin Lux has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 3.7% lower than Lux's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Skubal.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.1%	20.1%	1.8%	4.0%	14.3%	7.0%	31.2%
Lux	-3.7	-0.5	-0.5	-1.0	+1.0	-3.2	+6.5
Skubal	+1.8	+0.1	-0.4	0.0	+0.5	+1.7	+1.5

Gavin Lux is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lux doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Gavin Lux has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

37%

Slider (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Sinker (L)

16%

Kn-Curve (L)

15% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

16% of Tarik Skubal's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 16%

+13%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

13.2% of Gavin Lux's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.4% +6.3% 3%

Walk +2.4% -3.3% 40%

In Play 0.0% -3.0% 39%

On Base +1.6% -5.6% 31%

Hit -0.8% -2.3% 14%

Single -0.3% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.5% 0.0%

38.5% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal induces Standard Grounders at a 37.0% rate, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.1% +2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.2% -2.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.4% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.0% +2.8% 3%

Pop up +0.7% +0.6%

22.1% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.1% +0.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.4% -0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -1.1%

10.8% of Gavin Lux's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Tarik Skubal are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%