Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gavin Lux

matchup for Logan Allen

85th out of 436 (Best 20%)

Logan Allen

matchup for Gavin Lux

82nd out of 567 (Best 15%)

Moderate advantage for Lux

Gavin Lux has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 2.5% higher than Lux's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Allen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	24.0%	2.4%	5.8%	15.9%	9.2%	19.7%
Lux	+2.5	+3.5	+0.0	+0.8	+2.6	-1.0	-5.1
Allen	-1.8	-2.0	-0.5	-0.1	-1.4	+0.2	+2.1

Gavin Lux is worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Lux has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Gavin Lux has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

14%

Curve (L)

Cutter (L)

21% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

33% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

13.2% of Gavin Lux's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.4% -2.6% 3%

Walk +2.4% +1.3% 40%

In Play 0.0% +1.3% 39%

On Base +1.6% +6.7% 31%

Hit -0.8% +5.4% 14%

Single -0.3% +2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +3.1% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

38.5% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.1% +0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.2% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% +3.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.4% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.0% +0.0% 3%

Pop up +0.7% -0.7%

22.1% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 27.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.1% +1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.4% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +2.7%

10.8% of Gavin Lux's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%