Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gavin Lux

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

69th out of 436 (Best 17%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Gavin Lux

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Lux

Gavin Lux has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 1.9% higher than Lux's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.7%	22.5%	2.5%	5.5%	14.4%	10.2%	24.1%
Lux	+1.9	+1.9	+0.2	+0.5	+1.1	+0.1	-0.6
Rodriguez	-2.5	-2.2	-0.5	-0.4	-1.3	-0.4	+2.4

Gavin Lux is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Gavin Lux has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

13.2% of Gavin Lux's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.4% +6.5% 3%

Walk +2.4% +4.1% 40%

In Play 0.0% -10.5% 39%

On Base +1.6% +8.4% 31%

Hit -0.8% +4.3% 14%

Single -0.3% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +3.7%

38.5% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.1% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.2% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.4% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.0% +0.7% 3%

Pop up +0.7% +0.9%

22.1% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.1% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +10.4%

10.8% of Gavin Lux's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%