Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gavin Lux

matchup for Chris Sale

207th out of 436 (Best 48%)

Chris Sale

matchup for Gavin Lux

472nd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Moderate advantage for Sale

Gavin Lux has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 1.1% lower than Lux's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Sale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.6%	20.1%	1.5%	5.6%	12.9%	9.6%	32.6%
Lux	-1.1	-0.5	-0.8	+0.6	-0.4	-0.6	+7.8
Sale	+0.1	-2.2	-0.5	-0.2	-1.5	+2.3	+1.1

Gavin Lux is worse vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Lux has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Gavin Lux has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

39%

Slider (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

15%

8% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

46% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Lux has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 46%

+30%

Large Drop 28%

+23%

Extreme Slow Velo 22%

+13%

Breaking (L) 38%

+8%

13.2% of Gavin Lux's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.4% +11.2% 3%

Walk +2.4% -2.1% 40%

In Play 0.0% -9.1% 39%

On Base +1.6% -4.6% 31%

Hit -0.8% -2.5% 14%

Single -0.3% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -0.6%

38.5% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Chris Sale induces Standard Grounders at a 36.5% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.1% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.2% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.4% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.0% -0.9% 3%

Pop up +0.7% -0.5%

22.1% of Gavin Lux's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% +2.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.1% +3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.4% -2.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -2.8%

10.8% of Gavin Lux's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 13.6% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%