Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

David Hamilton

matchup for Jared Jones

174th out of 436 (Best 41%)

Jared Jones

matchup for David Hamilton

405th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

David Hamilton has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.8% lower than Hamilton's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	20.9%	2.4%	5.8%	12.7%	9.1%	31.6%
Hamilton	-0.8	-2.0	-0.2	+0.3	-2.2	+1.2	+5.3
Jones	-1.1	+0.0	-0.5	+0.7	-0.2	-1.1	+3.1

David Hamilton hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hamilton has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. David Hamilton has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. David Hamilton hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. David Hamilton has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

17.1% of David Hamilton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +0.9% +0.4% 5%

Walk -0.4% +0.6% 45%

In Play -0.4% -1.1% 39%

On Base -3.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit -2.8% -0.8% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.9% +0.9%

35.3% of David Hamilton's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.9% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +3.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.4% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.7% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +4.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.0% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.7% +2.5%

16.7% of David Hamilton's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +7.6% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.6% +0.4%

15.0% of David Hamilton's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%