Matchup Machine

David Hamilton

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

212th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for David Hamilton

550th out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Strong advantage for Gilbert
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Model Prediction

David Hamilton has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 6.7% lower than Hamilton's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%19.9%2.2%5.4%12.3%4.2%36.8%
Hamilton-6.7-3.0-0.40.0-2.6-3.7+10.5
Gilbert-0.6+0.1-0.2+0.4-0.1-0.8+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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David Hamilton hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hamilton has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. David Hamilton has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of David Hamilton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +0.9% +4.3% 5%         Walk -0.4% -4.2% 45%         In Play -0.4% 0.0% 39%         On Base -3.2% -7.3% 31%         Hit -2.8% -3.1% 14%         Single -1.1% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.5%

History

David Hamilton has 1 plate appearance against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-29Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.