David Hamilton has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.3% higher than Hamilton's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Flaherty.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.1% | 24.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 23.4% |
Hamilton | +2.3 | +1.7 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.5 | +0.6 | -2.9 |
Flaherty | -1.1 | +1.3 | -0.5 | +1.0 | +0.8 | -2.4 | +0.6 |
David Hamilton hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hamilton has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. David Hamilton has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
17.1% of David Hamilton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
David Hamilton has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.095 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-30 | Flyout | 2% | 98% | ||
2024-05-30 | Groundout | 17% | 83% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.