Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

David Hamilton

matchup for Luis Severino

120th out of 436 (Best 28%)

Luis Severino

matchup for David Hamilton

457th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Severino

David Hamilton has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 2.6% lower than Hamilton's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.1%	20.0%	2.3%	4.2%	13.6%	8.1%	25.8%
Hamilton	-2.6	-2.8	-0.3	-1.2	-1.3	+0.2	-0.5
Severino	-1.9	-1.3	-0.2	+0.1	-1.2	-0.7	+2.5

David Hamilton hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hamilton has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. David Hamilton has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. David Hamilton hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. David Hamilton hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

17.1% of David Hamilton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +0.9% +0.9% 5%

Walk -0.4% -1.1% 45%

In Play -0.4% +0.2% 39%

On Base -3.2% -0.9% 31%

Hit -2.8% +0.2% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -0.9% -0.5%

35.3% of David Hamilton's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.9% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +3.3% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -2.4% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.7% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +4.5% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.0% -1.4% 3%

Pop up -0.7% -0.7%

16.7% of David Hamilton's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +7.6% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.6% -0.5%

15.0% of David Hamilton's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%