Matchup Machine

      Dominic Fletcher

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      matchup for Tanner Bibee

      197th out of 436 (Best 46%)

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      Tanner Bibee

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      matchup for D. Fletcher

      326th out of 564 (Worst 42%)

      Leans in favor of Bibee
      1

      Model Prediction

      Dominic Fletcher has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.4% higher than Fletcher's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Bibee.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Dominic Fletcher is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fletcher has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Dominic Fletcher has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      45%
         Slider (R)
      27%
         Changeup (R)
      17%
         Curve (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.5% of Dominic Fletcher's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -0.5% +2.8% 6%         Walk -3.5% -1.3% 45%         In Play +4.0% -1.5% 39%         On Base +0.4% -1.1% 31%         Hit +3.9% +0.1% 14%         Single +2.8% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.2% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +0.2%

      History

      Dominic Fletcher has 2 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221001000.500
      Expected From Contact →0.790.000.020.770.396
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-10Single2%68%31%
      2024-04-10Groundout10%90%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.